Do you think that as prediction markets become more mainstream in 2026, they’ll actually make the job of a short-seller harder by "pre-pricing" the scandals you spend weeks investigating, or will they just provide a new way for you to monetize your research before you even hit "publish"? :)
I’ve subscribed and would be happy to support each other.
Hey Jorrit - thanks for reaching out. The first thought that comes to mind is that both markets would price in news relatively similar as the incentive is there in both.
Do you think that as prediction markets become more mainstream in 2026, they’ll actually make the job of a short-seller harder by "pre-pricing" the scandals you spend weeks investigating, or will they just provide a new way for you to monetize your research before you even hit "publish"? :)
I’ve subscribed and would be happy to support each other.
Jorrit
Hey Jorrit - thanks for reaching out. The first thought that comes to mind is that both markets would price in news relatively similar as the incentive is there in both.